New Mexico
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
116  Elmar Engholm SR 31:55
156  Dan Milechman SR 32:05
313  Graham Thomas JR 32:35
442  Josh Kerr FR 32:52
642  Matthew Bergin SR 33:14
944  Zac Castillo SO 33:41
1,284  Jesus Mendoza JR 34:12
1,318  Taylor Potter FR 34:16
National Rank #55 of 308
Mountain Region Rank #8 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.5%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 1.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Elmar Engholm Dan Milechman Graham Thomas Josh Kerr Matthew Bergin Zac Castillo Jesus Mendoza Taylor Potter
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 752 31:54 32:09 32:01 32:50 33:04 33:56 34:21 33:50
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/16 751 32:12 32:02 32:22 32:37 32:25 33:30 33:36
Mountain West Championships 10/30 865 31:37 32:01 33:03 33:27 34:22 34:47
Mountain Region Championships 11/13 947 31:57 32:14 33:32 35:25 33:14 34:52





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.5% 27.6 640 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2
Region Championship 100% 7.9 196 0.2 1.0 4.7 30.1 35.3 26.5 2.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elmar Engholm 42.5% 95.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Dan Milechman 24.8% 116.6 0.0
Graham Thomas 2.1% 164.5
Josh Kerr 1.5% 198.1
Matthew Bergin 1.5% 223.8
Zac Castillo 1.5% 240.5
Jesus Mendoza 1.5% 247.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elmar Engholm 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.1 1.5 2.5 3.3 3.5 4.5 4.4 5.0 5.8 5.1 5.4 4.8 5.1 4.8 4.2 4.0 4.1
Dan Milechman 24.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.8 3.4 4.1 4.5 5.1 4.6 5.0 5.4 4.9 5.4
Graham Thomas 38.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.1
Josh Kerr 47.0 0.0 0.1
Matthew Bergin 57.2
Zac Castillo 70.7
Jesus Mendoza 87.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.2% 33.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4
5 1.0% 34.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 5
6 4.7% 22.5% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 3.7 1.1 6
7 30.1% 0.3% 0.0 0.1 30.0 0.1 7
8 35.3% 35.3 8
9 26.5% 26.5 9
10 2.2% 2.2 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 1.5% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 98.5 0.0 1.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 91.7% 1.0 0.9
Penn 30.0% 1.0 0.3
Princeton 19.2% 1.0 0.2
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Notre Dame 8.2% 2.0 0.2
Penn State 3.3% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0